07/14/2010 - 16:00

This article is an attempt to clear up some basic questions around the Iranian nuclear crisis, which is one of the most polarizing issues in one of the world's most volatile regions. The US and its allies believe Iran is planning to build nuclear weapons, although Iran's leadership says that its nuclear program is peaceful. The west were working on sanctions against Iran, the United States was asking Israel to hold off on any military strike against Iran’s nuclear facilities. Some think there are no good options for dealing with this challenge. Download - 125 KB (PDF)

A Nuclear Iran

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In looking toward 2020, one of the most severe problems to be faced in many parts of the world is an...

Thirsty Middle East

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A six-year archive of classified military documents made public on 25th of July offers an unvarnished...

The Afghan War Diary

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50 Facts That Should Change the World by Jessica Williams

Here is another example of the bad job done by the mainstream media in informing the people about the state of the world. This book presents a number of facts, with accompanying essays, that will not be covered on the evening news. Besides, it also includes sources for each of the essays, and organizations to contact for those who are inspired to get involved in any of these areas. It is excellent, and I enjoyed reading it. Compare the subjects in this book to what is shown on the "all-news" channels. To get a very different view of the world, this is a fine place to start.

Somalia, an archetypal failed state

Since 1991 Somalia has been the archetypal failed state. Several attempts to create a transitional set-up have failed. Over the last two years the situation has deteriorated into one of the world’s worst crises.
Szomália 1991 óta a működésképtelen állam tipikus esete, ahol az átmeneti kormányzatok és az államépítési kísérletek sorra elbuknak. Az előző 2 évben az erőszak egész Szomáliát elöntötte, ami a világ egyik legnagyobb humanitárius válságát eredményezte. Dolgozat letöltése - 1,7 MB (PDF) - Prezentáció letöltése - 3,5 MB (PDF)

Kitekintő.hu

2009 márciusában kerültem a Kitekintő külpolitikai hírportálhoz, ami azt illeti teljesen véletlenül. Először gyakornokként kezdtem, majd szerkesztőként maradtam a Közel-Kelet rovatnál. A régión belül leginkább a palesztin-izraeli konfliktussal, illetve Izraellel kapcsolatos cikkeket írok az Ígéret Földje dossziéba. Írásaim száma immár meghaladja a 100-at. A kitekinto.hu egy 2007 tavaszától működő, független tematikus hírportál, egyben az első és legnagyobb oldal a magyar on-line piacon, amely napi frissítéssel kizárólag külföldi tematikát kínál.

A Jobbik-jelenség

A Jobbik Magyarországért Mozgalom egy magyar radikális jobboldali, egyes sajtóvélemények szerint szélsőjobboldali párt. Mára a magyar radikális jobboldal egyik legismertebb alakulatává fejlődött, amit bizonyít a párt 14,77 százalékos 2009-es EP választási szereplése, amellyel a harmadik helyre futott be, nem sokkal lemaradva az MSZP (17,37%) mögött. Jelenleg az egyik legnagyobb kérdés, hogy a Jobbik megerősödése milyen mértékben akadályozhatja a Fideszt a kétharmados parlamenti többség megszerzésében a 2010-es országgyűlési választásokon. Letöltés - 161 KB (PDF)

History's most memorable lines

What are history's most memorable lines? What lines have inspired you the most, spoken or written? That was Fareed Zakaria's challenge to the viewers in the question of the week January 2009. The viewer's response was extraordinary, and Zakaria's wanted to bring us the results in a different manner than they usually do. So here, set to the music played by Yo-Yo Ma and Itzhak Perlman during the inauguration, are many of the answers. The history's most memorable lines.

20/10: The Decade In Rewind

As the first 10 years of the 21st century draw to a close, Newsweek - the American weekly newsmagazine published in New York City - looks back at the decade's biggest moments with the help of some of the world's biggest names. Twenty original lists of ten: 20/10. Rewind the decade, starting now with the help of Newsweek. Check out "The Decade in Seven Minutes" video to remind yourself of the best, worst, and unforgettable moments of the the first 10 years of the new century.

Attack from underneath the ground (eng)

After I won the 2nd place on a Student Scientific Conference at home, I was given a chance to present my paper in Brno, Czech Republic. For this occasion I made the short version of my longer and full paper. Unfortunately, at those times, my english was pretty weak (it was 3 years ago), as you can see reading my essay. If I will have time, I will rewrite it. Anyway, I made my presentation, and I won the 2nd place in the ’Special Structures and Materials’ Section after all. Letöltés - 875 KB (PDF)

How to be a Complete and Utter Failure in Life

How to be a Complete and Utter Failure turns the concept of self-improvement on its head. Delivered in fast, easily digestible chunks, in a style that makes you laugh while you learn, this book offers advice about what not to do to ensure certain failure in every aspect of your life. From not having any goals, to not getting advice from people you've never met or who are dead, to not taking personal responsibility for your life and results, every idea, strategy, suggestion and story is guaranteed to propel you into the slow lane of total inadequacy and has been tested with thousands of real people.

The Four Faces of Nuclear Terrorism

The Four Faces of Nuclear Terrorism is a 2004 book by Charles D. Ferguson and William C. Potter which assesses the motivations and capabilities of terrorist organizations to acquire and use nuclear weapons, to fabricate and detonate crude nuclear explosives, to strike nuclear power plants and other nuclear facilities, and to build and employ radiological weapons or "dirty bombs." The authors maintain that there is a greater likelihood today than at any time in the past three decades that nuclear weapons will actually be used.

Attack from underneath the ground

This is my original paper about tunnels. It was written for a National Student’s Scientific Conference in Hungary, Budapest, 2006. I won the second place with this paper in ’Military History II.’ Section.
Ez a XXVIII. OTDK-ra készült dolgozatom, „Támadás a föld alól” címmel, amivel II. helyezést értem el a Hadtudományi szekció ‘Hadtörténelem II.’ tagozatban 2007-ben. Megjelent: Támadás a föld alól - Hallgatói Közlemények, Zrínyi Miklós Nemzetvédelmi Egyetem, 2007 Bp., XI. évf. 2. szám. Letöltés - 2,9 MB (PDF)

Attack from underneath the ground, act two

This is the continuation of my ‘Attack from underneath the ground’ title paper. In this writing of mine I give the historical analysis of the tunnel warfare, and I consult about the current and potential future opportunities of application. Ez az előző dolgozat folytatása. Egyfajta kiegészítésnek szántam. Amit esetleg még fontosnak tartottam a témával kapcsolatban, azt ebben fogalmaztam meg. Megjelent: Hallgatói Közlemények, Zrínyi Miklós Nemzetvédelmi Egyetem (ZMNE), 2007, XI. évf. 4. szám. Letöltés - 3,7 MB (PDF)

Apocalypse soon

McNamara is worried. He knows how close we’ve come. He helped the Kennedy administration avert nuclear catastrophe during the Cuban Missile Crisis. Today, he believes the U.S. must no longer rely on nuclear weapons as a foreign-policy tool. To do so is immoral, illegal, and dangerous.
McNamara aggódik. Ő tudja, hogy milyen közel jutottunk. A kubai rakétaválság idején tanácsaival segítette a Kennedy-adminisztrációt a nukleáris katasztrófa elkerülésében. Ma már úgy gondolja, hogy az USA nem bízhatja rá magát többé a nukleáris fegyverek külpolitikai eszközként való alkalmazására.

The background of conflicts

A number factor consists in the background of the tensions which can be observed on the world's different landscapes. There are older historical conflicts, and there are threats coming forward newly.
A világ különböző tájain megfigyelhető feszültségek hátterében számos tényező áll. Vannak régebbi múltra visszatekintő történelmi konfliktusok és vannak újonnan jelentkező fenyegetések is, mint a nukleáris fegyverkezés, vagy a terrorizmus. Megjelent: Kapu, 21.évf. 2008/8-9. szám. Letöltés - 780 KB (PDF)

Why Israel Won't Attack Iran

Every three weeks or so, when one Israeli leader or another making a statement about the threat of Iran's nuclear program, nervous hedge fund managers and securities research analysts trying to find out if this is "it." Are the Israelis on the verge of attacking Iran's nuclear facilities?
Amikor egyik-másik izraeli vezető nyilatkozik, hogy mekkora fenyegetést jelent Irán atomprogramja, ideges hedge fund managerek és kötvénypiaci elemzők próbálják kideríteni, hogy komoly-e a fenyegetés. Izrael tényleg közel áll-e ahhoz, hogy csapást mérjen Irán nukleáris létesítményeire?

Conflicts on one third of the world

In this paper I discuss the crisis areas of our days. After the most important endanger factors of security I review the security situation of the Middle East, Africa and Latin-America.
„Konfliktusok a világ egyharmadán” című írásomban napjaink válságtérségeit, a legégetőbb konfliktusokat tárgyalom. A biztonságot veszélyeztető tényezők után röviden ismertetem a Közel-Kelet, Afrika és Latin-Amerika jelenlegi biztonsági helyzetét, és a várható kilátásokat. Dolgozat letöltése - 2,3 MB (PDF) - Prezentáció letöltése - 3,2 MB (PDF)

Learning From the Soviets

Talk to Russian veterans of Afghanistan and it's hard not to think that they're rooting for the U.S. to lose. For these men, seeing NATO succeed at a job they botched would deepen the humiliation of defeat. Easier to affirm that if the Soviets couldn't win there, no one can.
Afganisztánt megjárt orosz veteránokkal beszélve nehéz elhinni, hogy nem az USA vereségéért szurkolnak. Látni, hogy a NATO-nak sikerülhet az, amit ők korábban elfuseráltak, csak mélyítené megalázottságukat. Könnyebb kijelenteni, hogy ha a szovjeteknek nem ment, akkor senkinek sem fog.

Cocaine

The drug trade is a big security challenge in these days. The different terrorist-organizations earn a lot of money from this activity. Drug is the integral part of the everyday life in Latin-America. They pay by a peso or "base" for goods and services in the homeland of cocaine.
A kábítószer kereskedelem napjaink biztonsági kihívásai közé tartozik. A terrorista szervezetek anyagi hátterét leggyakrabban az ebből befolyt pénzek adják. Latin-Amerikában a kábítószer a mindennapi élet szerves része. A kokain hazájában pesóval vagy „bázissal” fizetnek az árukért és szolgáltatásokért. Dolgozat letöltése - 2 MB (PDF) - Prezentáció letöltése - 3,1 MB (PDF)

The security aspects of the competition over natural resources

E cikk csak azt a korlátozott célt tűzhette ki maga elé, hogy a természeti erőforrások csökkenésére és az azzal szorosan összefüggő globális problémák biztonságpolitikai vonzataira vessen egy rövid pillantást, a részletekbe menő elemzés nélkül. Szó lesz demográfiai válságról, élelmiszer- és energiabiztonságról, fenntartható fejlődésről és globális felmelegedésről.
Megjelent: Vízkonfliktusok - Küzdelem egy pohár vízért (Publikon Kiadó). Letöltés - 570 KB (PDF)

The Afghan War Diary

A six-year archive of classified military documents made public on 25th of July offers an unvarnished, ground-level picture of the war in Afghanistan that is in many respects more grim than the official portrayal. The secret documents, released on the Internet by an organization called WikiLeaks, are a daily diary of an American-led force often starved for resources and attention as it struggled against an insurgency that grew larger, better coordinated and more deadly each year. WikiLeaks.org says its goal in disclosing secret documents is to reveal “unethical behavior” by governments and corporations.

Knowing the Enemy by Mary Habeck

After September 11, Americans agonized over why nineteen men hated the United States enough to kill three thousand civilians in an unprovoked assault. Analysts have offered a wide variety of explanations for the attack, but the one voice missing is that of the terrorists themselves. Mary Habeck's penetrating book is the first to present the inner logic of al-Qaida and like-minded extremist groups by which they justify September 11 and other terrorist attacks.

War and Peace in The Land of Promise

The Middle East has been the focus of hostilities through centuries. However, in this region mostly the Land of Promise became a center where number of wars took place in the 20th century.
A Közel-Kelet évszázadokon keresztül viszályok gyújtópontja volt. Ám azon belül is leginkább az Ígéret Földje volt, ahol számos háború robbant ki. A palesztin-izraeli szembenállás napjaink egyik legösszetettebb konfliktusa, amely nagymértékben megosztja a világ közvéleményét. Dolgozat letöltése - 4 MB (PDF) - Prezentáció letöltése - 850 KB (PDF)

Insurgency & Terrorism

Insurgency may be the most prevalent type of armed conflict since the creation of organized political communities. The persistence of many current insurgencies and the likely emergence of unforseen ones make Bard O'Neill's Insurgency & terrorism invaluable in today's turbulent political climate. This book is the product of a lifetime of research and widely respected fieldwork by the director of studies of insurgency and revolution at the U.S. National War College.

Early Missteps in Afghanistan

“A Different Kind of War” is the first installment of the Army’s official history of the war in Afghanistan, written by a team of seven historians and based on open source material. The New York Times obtained a copy of the manuscript which is still under review by current and former military officials.
A The New York Times 2009. december 31-én közzé tett egy amerikai történészek által írt - "Egy másfajta háború című" - dokumentumot, mely szerint a Bush-adminisztráció és a Pentagon hibát vétett, amikor nem biztosította a szükséges erőforrásokat Afganisztán stabilizálásához, még a háború elején.

The Israel Lobby and U.S. Foreign Policy

This book has created a storm of controversy by bringing out into the open America's relationship with the Israel lobby: a loose coalition of individuals and organizations that actively work to shape foreign policy in a way that is profoundly damaging both the United States and Israel itself. The Jewish state is an important ally for the US, yet Mearsheimer and Walt show that, bye encouraging unconditional US financial and diplomatic support for Israel and promoting the use of its power to remake the Middle East, the lobby has jeopardized America's and israel's long-term security and put other countries at risk.

The Clash of Civilizations?

World politics is entering a new phase, in which the great divisions among humankind and the dominating source of international conflict will be cultural. Civilizations-the highest cultural groupings of people-are differentiated from each other by religion, history, language and tradition.
Új korszak kezdődött, melyben világunkat a szovjet kommunizmus összeomlása után nem a nyugati liberális demokrácia végleges diadala határozza meg, hanem a különböző vallásokon és kultúrákon nyugvó civilizációk összecsapásai.

The End of History

The End of History and the Last Man is a 1992 book by Francis Fukuyama, expanding on his 1989 essay "The End of History?". In the book, Fukuyama argues that the advent of Western liberal democracy may signal the end point of humanity's sociocultural evolution and the final form of human government.
Nagy vitákat kavart Fukuyama A történelem vége? című esszéje, majd könyve, amelyben azt állította, hogy a történelmi haladás, mint ideológiák közti harc tulajdonképpen véget ért, és a hidegháború időszaka után a világban a liberális demokrácia uralmának kora következik.

America at the Crossroads by Francis Fukuyama

This book briefly discusses the history of neoconservatism, with particular focus on its major tenets and political implications. Fukuyama finds fault with many aspects of Bush's foreign policies, notably the inadequate planning for post-conflict reconstruction in Iraq, the conflation of the threat of radical Islamism with Iraq and the administration's non-cooperation with international organizations like the United Nations during a deluge of anti-Americanism. At the conclusion of the book, the author proposes a new order in international politics, stating the world needs a change in its actual institutions.

War on terror

Obama was inaugurated as the first president to take office in the Age of Terrorism. He inherited two struggles — one with Al Qaeda, and another that deeply divides his own country. The first has proved to be complicated and daunting. The second makes the first look easy.
Obama volt az első elnök, aki a terrorizmus korában foglalta el hivatalát. Két háborút is örökölt, az egyiket az al-Kaida ellen, és egy másikat, amely saját országát is mélyen megosztja. Az első igen összetettnek és ijesztőnek bizonyult. A második fényében azonban már könnyűnek tűnik.

Barack Obama

In the wake of the failed Christmas Day airplane bombing and the killing a few days later of seven CIA operatives in Afghanistan, Washington is, as it was after the Sept. 11, 2001, attacks, obsessed with "dots" - and the inability to connect them. "The U.S. government had sufficient information to have uncovered this plot and potentially disrupt the Christmas Day attack, but our intelligence community failed to connect those dots," the president said. But for all the talk, two key dots have yet to be connected: the Northwest Airlines Flight 253 attacker, and the CIA informant who turned assassin.

Raped and Ignored

Nicholas D. Kristof's column is about the tragedy of Congo, world capital of murder, pillage and rape. He would love to see Congo rise on the global agenda and get the attention it deserves. Maybe if there would be an earthquake, or a tsunami. It might finally get the attention it needs. The civil war being waged in Congo is the most lethal conflict since World War II and has claimed at least 30 times as many lives as the Haiti earthquake. Yet no humanitarian crisis generates so little attention per million corpses, or such a pathetic international response.

Thirsty Middle East

In looking toward 2020, one of the most severe problems to be faced in many parts of the world is an impending shortage of adequate supplies of fresh water. The Middle East is the place where local and international strife for water could erupt first.
2020 felé közeledve a világ több pontján is az édesvízkészletek hiánya jelenti az egyik legsúlyosabb problémát. Ivóvíz szempontjából a Közel-Kelet valamennyi országa ínségre van kárhoztatva, ezért itt a legnagyobb a valószínűsége egy vízválság kialakulásának. Cikk letöltése - 984 KB (PDF)

Terrorism Versus Democracy By Paul Wilkinson

This book provides us with some much needed criteria for distinguishing between terrorists and freedom fighters and an explanation of the uses of terrorism as a political, social, religious and criminal weapon. Wilkinson also links the use of terrorism to a wider repertoire of struggle. He proposes a variety of possible counter-measures and valuable principles carefully distilled from the recent past to help design a response that is compatible with democratic principles, the rule of law and respect for human rights. This study examines both the new terror networks and those that have been around for decades.

China: Friend or Foe?

China is the world’s next superpower. Should the West celebrate – or be afraid? Accessible and straightforward, China: Friend or Foe? is the first popular exploration of one of the biggest issues of the next hundred years. China’s economy is growing phenomenally, with half the world’s cranes currently on its soil. Its 1.3 billion people have around 300 million mobile phones, and a purchasing power second only to the US. Yet, especially in rural areas, there is widespread poverty.

A Nuclear Iran

This article is an attempt to clear up some basic questions around the Iranian nuclear crisis, which is one of the most polarizing issues in one of the world's most volatile regions. The US and its allies believe Iran is planning to build nuclear weapons, although Iran's leadership says that its nuclear program is peaceful. The west were working on sanctions against Iran, the United States was asking Israel to hold off on any military strike against Iran’s nuclear facilities. Some think there are no good options for dealing with this challenge. Download - 125 KB (PDF)